September 2007

Final Week Desperation

What does it say about the state of the Mets’ pitching staff that they had to turn to a rookie making his major league debut (Carlos Muniz) in middle relief last night and now have to give Philip Humber his first major league start in the final week of a furious pennant race? The Mets’ bullpen has become so overworked that Willie Randolph went to Muniz as a replacement for struggling starter Tom Glavine. Muniz gave up two runs in an inning and a third, and those proved to be critical tallies in a 10-9 loss at Shea Stadium on Tuesday night…

Play-by-play man extraordinaire Gary Cohen provided a nice nugget of information on Monday night’s Mets broadcast. In referencing former Indians pitcher Jack Armstrong, Cohen discussed one of the right-hander’s best years, in which he pitched phenomenally well for the Reds over the first half of the season. (It must have been 1990, when Armstrong won a career-high 12 games and earned selection to the All-Star Game.) And then, as Cohen pointed out, Armstrong became full of himself. During a trip to New York, Armstrong decided to hang a sign in front of his locker at Shea Stadium. The sign read, "If you’d like to interview me, you’ll have to contact my agent first." What a putz. After that bit of haughtiness, Armstrong turned back into a pumpkin, endured a poor second half to the 1990 season, and never came close to being an effective pitcher again. Somehow, after hearing Cohen’s story, I don’t feel too sorry for Armstrong…

How desperate are the Padres for outfield help after that disastrous Sunday afternoon that essentially removed two-thirds of their starting outfield in Milton Bradley and Mike Cameron? Well, they decided to take a flyer on Jason Lane, who has been absolutely brutal for the Astros the last two seasons after being mildly productive in 2005. Other than an occasional home run, Lane offers little on offense—he doesn’t hit for average, doesn’t walk, doesn’t steal bases, and strikes out way too often. I also don’t know that he can play a serviceable center field. The Padres would be better off playing Brady Clark, Rob Mackowiak, or Terrmel Sledge in center field, bookended by Scott Hairston and Brian Giles. Hairston, by the way, has been one of the game’s best midseason pickups this summer. In 23 games for the Padres, he’s slugging at a .771 rate, with an on-base percentage of .418. And for what it’s worth, it looks like he could emerge as the best player in the expansive Hairston family, which has roots all the way back to the days of the Negro Leagues…

On a personal note, I’ll be a regularly featured guest each Tuesday morning on KBME, an all-sports radio station in Houston. Co-hosts Brad Davies and Craig Roberts will grill me each week during the postseason.

Monday’s Bunts and Boots

So where will Barry Bonds end up next spring, now that the Giants have decided to move in a different direction for 2008? Bonds’ lack of range in the outfield, coupled with the increased possibility of injury that comes with playing the field, make him a long shot to land with another National League team. So let’s assume that he heads to the American League for the first time in his career. In spite of what some skeptics say, the lowly Rangers appear to be one of the candidates. Owner Tom Hicks loves to make a big splash and can make room for Bonds at DH (where he belongs) by letting Sammy Sosa’s contract expire. Skeptics say that Bonds won’t want to play for a non-contender, but that didn’t stop him from playing for the Giants this summer. Another real possibility is the A’s, who have a general manager that appreciates Bonds’ full impact on an offense. Oakland needs a major jumpstart offensively; there is no other free agent hitter that comes close to carrying the resume of Bonds. Bonds would also prefer to remain on the West Coast, a condition that the A’s can obviously meet. Two other West Coast teams, the Angels and Mariners, are also rumored to have interest in Bonds, but some observers discount that possibility. The managers of those teams, Mike Scioscia and John McLaren, are both old-school baseball guys who would seem to have little interest in pandering to the wants and needs of Bonds, who will likely demand preferential treatment wherever he goes…

Forget all the weekend talk you heard about Alex Rodriguez signing a contract with the Cubs that contains a provision for future ownership with the club. Major league rules not only prevent active players from being part owners in a franchise, but also disallow teams and players from engaging in agreements that promise future ownership in the club. The Cubs might still pursue a more standard contract with A-Rod, but the Yankees and other teams will be looking closely to make sure there is no mention or provision for future ownership…

Speaking of the Yankees, the bending of the "Joba Rules" over the weekend figures to be a sign of things to come. Look for GM Brian Cashman to allow Joe Torre to use Joba Chamberlain on back-to-back days during the postseason, as long as he keeps his pitch count below 30. Cashman recognizes that Torre will need Chamberlain at full capacity if the Yankees are to return to the World Series for the first time since 2003.

The Friday Night Rumor Mill

This is shaping up as one of the blandest free agent classes ever, but at least two foreign talents are expected to add some flavor—and some mystery—to the proceedings. (The winter class of pitchers is so bad that we’re going to have to listen to Scott Boras wax poetic about Kyle Lohse.) Coming from the Far East, Japanese slugger Kosuke Fukudome will be among the available outfielders. A left-handed hitter, he has similar power to Hideki Matsui, but with enough of an arm to play right field and enough speed to play some center field. The Yankees may be one of the teams to make a play for Fukudome, but only if they take a pass on Bobby Abreu’s option. Other teams that are expected to bid on "The Dome" are the Red Sox (which would then clear the way for the dumping of J.D. Drew) and the Giants (especially if they don’t bring back Barry Bonds)… The other international star is Alexei Ramirez, who is an intriguing talent to say the least. He’s a legitimate slugger—he led the Cuban League in home runs—who happens to play the finesse positions of shortstop, second base, and center field. It’s uncertain where he will end up as a major leaguer—third base may be another option—but his versatility and power make him an intriguing possibility. He’s also only 26 years of age, a full five years younger than Fukudome…

The Orioles are facing a real quandary with regard to Miguel Tejada. His quickly diminishing range at shortstop has convinced the O’s that they need to move him to third base, but that position is blocked by Melvin Mora. Trading Mora is no simple matter either, since the Orioles saw fit to give him a no-trade clause as part of his newest contract. (The Orioles are certainly regretting that long-term deal.) The other option would be to trade Tejada, but that is something that owner Peter Angelos has resisted doing for three years now…

Let the bloodletting begin in Pittsburgh. Even though the Pirates have not yet settled on a GM, it’s a given that Shawn Chacon will be allowed to become a free agent. Similarly, the options on the contracts of right-hander Tony Armas Jr. and shortstop Cezar Izturis will not be picked up. Izturis has already received an endorsement from the tigers’ Carlos Guillen, who says he will be willing to move to first base to make room for a defender the caliber of Izturis…

The Astros’ hiring of Ed Wade as general manager will not change what has become increasingly apparent—that rookie skipper Cecil Cooper will be brought back to manage in 2008. Though he has been stuck with the interim label since the surprise firing of Phil Garner, Cooper has impressed Houston management with the work he has done over the past month. Calm, reasoned, and intelligent, Cooper looks to be a managerial keeper. Once the Astros give him a contract for 2008, look for Cooper to get tougher with stars Carlos Lee and Lance Berkman, who have developed reputations for not hustling at all times…

We keep hearing all this talk that Willie Randolph will lose his job if the Mets fail to hold onto the National League East, but who exactly would the Mets turn to as his replacement? Well, there are no realistic candidates on the Mets’ coaching staff, unless you somehow think Rickey Henderson would be willing to put in those 100-hour workweeks. I suppose one possibility might be Ken Oberkfell, a seven-year veteran of the organization who just completed his third season as a Triple-A manager. Oberkfell has a good resume, but lacks the headlining status of a Randolph, or past Mets managers like Bobby Valentine and Dallas Green.

Monday’s Bunts and Boots

All the Mets had to do to salt away the National League East was win one of three games over the weekend against the Phillies. That proved to be too much for the New Yorkers, who stumbled their way to three straight defeats, allowing the Phillies to move within three and a half games of first place. That gives the Phillies a chance—albeit an outside one, considering the ease of New York’s schedule—of catching the Mets atop the standings over the final two weeks of the season. Of the eight fielding errors the Mets made during the series, including a ******** six miscues on Sunday, none were charged to Carlos Beltran, but the superstar center fielder did more than his share of damage. On Saturday, Beltran first allowed a bloop hit to fall in on a catchable fly ball and then misjudged Jimmy Rollins’ deep drive to left-center field. Beltran not only watched the drive sail over his head, but then jogged after the ball as the Phillies scored two decisive runs and Rollins raced toward third with a triple. And then on Sunday, Beltran threw to the wrong base, allowing an additional Phillies baserunner to move into scoring position. If the Mets somehow end up losing the East to the Phillies, the underachieving Beltran deserves as much blame as embattled manager Willie Randolph…

Having watched Jason Giambi commit four misplays on Friday night against the Red Sox, I can honestly say that he is the worst first baseman I’ve ever seen. I never thought I’d see a first baseman so bad that you shouldn’t put him in the field under any circumstance, but Giambi is that guy. Between his statuesque range, his so-so hands, and a bizarre fear or throwing (does he ever not flinch or hesitate in making any throw?), Giambi is a huge liability at first base. The previous owner of the crown, Mo Vaughn, was horrid during his Mets days, but this guy is worse.

While Giambi had played decently at first base prior to Friday night’s debacle, he almost single-handedly lost the game for the Yankees. And that is something the Yankees can ill afford during the final two weeks as they attempt to fend off the hard-charging Tigers. I thought Joe Torre would have learned his lesson and refused to play Giambi at first again, but on Saturday the lumbering "Giambino" was back on the right side of the infield. Then on Sunday, Torre finally put Giambi on the bench and watched Doug Mientkiewicz make what turned out to be a game-turning play, saving two runs, in the first inning of the Roger Clemens-Curt Schilling pitching duel.

Unfortunately, Mientkiewicz hits like a bad middle infielder, and with the Yankees’ strange schizophrenic offense riding the rollercoaster of late, it’s debatable whether the Yankees can afford to carry his bat. I still think the Yankees would be better off platooning Wilson Betemit and Shelley Duncan at first, while letting Giambi and Johnny Damon fight for the at-bats at DH, but Torre has seemingly lost confidence in Betemit already. (The Yankees tried for two years to acquire Betemit, then finally did, and have now chained him to the bench. Yeesh!) A few strikeouts have made Betemit a glorified utility infielder, which is really a waste of his abilities. And to think he might be the starting third baseman in 2008 if a certain American League MVP is not re-signed.

The Friday Night Rumor Mill

Royals fans hoping that GM Dayton Moore would take a dip into Kansas City’s past in hiring a new manager may be disappointed to learn that Moore is pursuing an Atlanta connection. Previously a high-ranking member of the Braves’ front office, Moore is believed to be looking at Braves coaches Terry Pendleton and Brian Snitker, along with Braves scout Jim Fregosi. I’m skeptical at the naming of Fregosi, who seems to be an obligatory candidate for every managerial opening despite not having managed since 2000, but Pendleton and Snitker have drawn high marks for their work as batting coach and third base coach, respectively. If Moore were serious about establishing a Kansas City-Atlanta pipeline, that would be awfully bad news for in-house candidates like George Brett and Frank White. Either man would be an extraordinarily popular choice in Kansas City, a franchise with a proud tradition from the seventies and eighties, but with little positive history over the last two decades… Another candidate mentioned for the Royals job is Jimy Williams, who also has connections to Atlanta but is currently the bench coach for the Phillies. In terms of bottom line won-loss record, Williams has a good one, but has also left behind a long fire trail of critics in Houston, Boston, and Toronto, his first three managerial stops. He also won’t win any public relations points if he is hired in Kansas City…

With all of the talk about the Pirates bringing in a new CEO and general manager, Jim Tracy has been allowed to fly under the radar despite a second straight disappointing season. In truth, Tracy will almost certainly lose his job as Bucs manager after new CEO Frank Coonelly decides on a new GM. Coonelly says the new GM will be allowed to make the decision on Tracy, and with little positive developing in Pittsburgh over the last two seasons, it’s hard to see the new GM resisting a change…

Is it possible that Joe Girardi will sit out another season, while waiting for the right opportunity that never seems to come? There’s been absolutely no talk of Girardi being considered by the Royals or Astros (where the impressive Cecil Cooper still has the interim tag), two of the few teams that may have managerial openings in 2008. With the White Sox giving Ozzie Guillen a shocking contract extension through 2012, the Phillies apparently on the verge of extending Charlie Manuel (for some unknown reason), and Pete Mackanin drawing rave reviews in Cincinnati, Girardi could be frozen out. Of course, anything short of a trip to the World Series will cost Joe Torre his job in New York, but the Yankees appear ****-bent on making Don Mattingly his successor… Oh by the way, where are all the Girardi naysayers who claimed that he didn’t anything particularly outstanding with the Marlins in 2006? At last look, the 2007 Marlins are 63-83, tied with the overachieving Nationals for the worst record in the National League.

Monday’s Bunts and Boots

Buddy Bell was a fine player, one of the most underrated third basemen of the late 1970s and early 1980s, but has continually shown himself to be overmatched as manager of the Royals. Over the weekend, Bell repeatedly resisted opportunities to pitch around Alex Rodriguez, who is currently in the midst of one of the best power streaks of his career. Instead, Bell allowed his pitchers to challenge A-Rod, who responded by clubbing four home runs in three games and almost single-handedly leading the Yankees to a three-game sweep. Fortunately, the Royals will have a chance to have a much stronger strategic presence in the dugout next year, as Bell has already announced his retirement, effective at season’s end. Let’s just hope the Royals do the smart thing and give the job to someone like Frank White, who has more than paid his dues as a minor league skipper…

Some decisions defy explanation. Over the weekend, the Devil Rays announced that they had exercised the 2008 and 22009 options on the contract of manager Joe Maddon? What exactly has Maddon done to merit two contract extensions, much less one? In the nearly two seasons that Maddon has been on the job, the Devil Rays have shown virtually no improvement in the standings. They remain inept in the critical areas of pitching and defense, which were problem areas prior to Maddon’s arrival. They also have a well-earned reputation for being one of the League’s most egregious offenders when it comes to executing fundamentals (they are notoriously bad at missing the cutoff man) and hustling on the bases (D-Rays batters routinely fail to run out ground balls and pop-ups). If Maddon doesn’t deserve some of the blame for this lack of attention to detail, then who in the Devil Rays’ organization should take the fall? Apparently no one. And that’s a sad commentary on the state of baseball being played at Tropicana Field…

It has been an incredibly monumental year for the village of Cooperstown. At the end of July, we saw crowds of 70,000-plus fans in town for the induction of Tony Gwynn and Cal Ripken, Jr. Now we’re in the midst of Cooperstown’s bicentennial celebration, which began over the weekend and will feature events for a full week. The celebration officially kicked off on Saturday with an hour-long parade, by far the largest parade in the history of Cooperstown. The Hall of Fame did a nice job with its float, which featured a large wooden stand filled with replica plaques, surrounded by two oversized gloves and escorted by 15 Hall uniform-wearing employees. (I especially loved the old Colt .45s uniform.) My favorite "float" in the parade was the most unusual: a large wooden casket that billowed smoke and featured the words "Dracula’s Coffin." And what does the most famous vampire of all time have to do with Cooperstown? Well, a local theater group is putting on a production of Dracula and decided to use the parade as an opportunity to promote its October programs. Only in Cooperstown.

Walking The Plank

It’s about time. That’s what most Pirates fans are saying today in reaction to the news that longtime general manager Dave Littlefield has been fired. Ever since Littlefield took over as GM in 2001, the Pirates have shown little to no improvement in the standings. Littlefield has made many mistakes along the way, but his trading record alone should have mandated his firing a long time ago. Let’s consider this. Littlefield has traded away a cache of serviceable players—including third baseman Aramis Ramirez, outfielder Gary Matthews Jr., and starting pitchers Chris Young, Jason Schmidt, and Oliver Perez—while receiving virtually nothing of substance in return. And this is a trading record from a guy who historically makes such outrageous demands during trade talks, sometimes ticking off his GM counterparts, before settling for fifty cents on the dollar in return.

Where would the Pirates be today if they had simply held onto Ramirez, Matthews, Young, and Perez? Well, they’d be right in the middle of contention for the National League Central, the worst of baseball’s six divisions. With an impact hitter like Ramirez, a solid all-round center fielder in Matthews, a staff ace in Young, and a capable No. 3 or No. 4 starter in Perez, the Bucs would be battling the Brewers, Cubs, and Cardinals for supremacy in the central division. Instead, they find themselves ten and a half games out, well on their way to a 15th consecutive sub-.500 record. It’s an absolutely shameful record, one that demands some accountability, and that accountability came today in the form of Littlefield moving on.

To whom should the Pirates turn to as Littlefield’s successor? I’m sure we’ll hear all sorts of talk about Dan Duquette and Paul DePodesta, but I’d like to see the Pirates bring in an old-fashioned baseball guy with some personality, rather than a numbers-cruncher with poor people skills. I don’t expect the Pirates to head in that direction, but that someone could be Gerry Hunsicker, the former GM of the Astros, or Gene "Stick" Michael, who’s been relegated to consulting work in the Yankee front office. Now, Michael might be too old to handle the rigors of a 100-hour work week, but he’d certainly be nice to have in an advisory capacity.

Either way, the Pirates could certainly use all of the good minds they can find.

Limits On Pitch Counts

We’ve been out business since last Wednesday because of the Labor Day holiday, so let’s make up for the lack of currency with lots and lots of volume…

Anyone who has read this space over the last two years knows I’m no fan of pitch counts, which have become overused to the point of nausea. Now I’m not calling for a return to those halcyon days when starting pitchers routinely threw 140 or more pitches. Yet, the pendulum has swung over so much to the side of caution that teams are losing games in the late innings because of a reliance on bad relievers without any discernible reduction in injuries to their starters.

Here’s my beef with pitch counts, which really should be described more accurately as pitch limits. Sabermetric types are forever stressing context in applying statistics—and rightly so—but context doesn’t seem to apply as vigorously to pitch counts. A guy hits 100—or 110 pitches—and the red flags go up, the sirens sound, and the pitch count preachers start chanting. Well, I have a few questions. I want to know if the pitcher labored in reaching100 pitches. What were the weather conditions, warm and humid or cool and comfortable? How were the pitcher’s mechanics that day, were they sound, or were they strained? How was he pitching at the tail end of those 100 pitches, as opposed to the first 40 pitches? Was he sailing through the batting order at the end of the 100 pitches, and if so, why did the manager take him out? Was it simply because the abacus turned from 99 to 100?

If baseball would use pitch counts as a guideline, while considering some of these other questions, I’d be much more open to considering the real validity and value of pitch counts. And I believe that pitching coaches and managers should be able to provide answers to these questions, in terms of a pitcher laboring, his mechanics, his strength at the end of the game. I mean, that’s what pitches coaches are paid for, at least in part, to detect these tendencies in their pitchers.

If pitch counts were used in such a way, as a guidepost, rather than as a hard and fast rule with absolutely no flexibility, I think teams would be extracting more quality from their starting pitchers. And maybe, just maybe, we’d see the return to something like the ten-man pitching staff…

Just a week ago, after the Mets had lost four straight games to the Phillies, we heard some ridiculous talk that Willie Randolph might be on the verge of losing his job. This angered me to no end, considering that Randolph has had the Mets in first place for virtually all of the past two seasons. He’s done this without a dominant starting rotation, and for much of this season, without much help from an aging Carlos Delgado or an oft-injured Moises Alou. Lo and behold, the Mets have won five straight games since the Philly fiasco, opened up a sizeable five-game lead in the National League East, and have quieted all the rumors of managerial change. Frankly, those rumors should never have started. It’s an insult to a fine manager like Randolph, who still finds ways to extract effort from veteran players and manage a scattershot bullpen while keeping the brushfires of controversy still at Shea Stadium…

My kingdom for an impact pitcher! What does it say about the state of available pitching when the best that contending teams can come up with over the last week are trades for Steve Trachsel (Cubs), Brett Tomko (Padres), and Ray King (Brewers)? None of the three has an ERA below four and a half, and all carry baggage (Trachsel has a reputation as a quitter, Tomko hasn’t pitched decently since 2004, and King weights 230 pounds, at least.) And what does it say that each of these three teams was actually excited about these acquisitions? Yeesh…

Last Saturday night, the White Sox slept walk their way through another defeat, but patient viewers who sat through till the end were treated to a video gem from the 1970 season. After the Sox’ latest loss to the Indians, WGN aired a tape of a hilarious exchange featuring Sox broadcaster Ken "Hawk" Harrelson. The tape, which was filmed in 1971, showed Harrelson and his then-Indians teammate Sam McDowell running through their own interpretation of Abbott and Costello’s "Who’s on First?" Harrelson and McDowell delivered the lengthy skit as if they were trained theater performers—flawlessly executing their lines while displaying the impeccable timing of Bud Abbott and Lou Costello themselves. Hawk and "Sudden Sam" even strayed from the original script from time to time, giving the performance a unique interpretation while also managing to poke fun at their own 1971 struggles. (Harrelson hit .191 in what was his final big league season, while McDowell went an uncharacteristic 13-17 and was traded to San Francisco.) It was wonderful theater, the kind that I’d love to see more local teams incorporate into their broadcasts. Just terrific.

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