The rites of spring training perennially bring with them the latest wave of trade rumors. Players on the trade block usually include players returning from injury who face new competition (Nick Johnson and Joe Crede), veterans who are giving way to hot prospects (Coco Crisp and Scott Hatteberg), players who have become extraneous because of the acquisition of better players (Brandon Inge), and higher salaried veterans who are part of a youth movement (Brian Roberts and Joe Blanton).
Seven well-known players figure to have their names ground through the rumor mill during the six weeks of spring training. The longer they remain “untraded,” the more rumors they figure to generate, unless an unexpected injury changes their value to their current teams. With that in mind, let’s take a look at each of the Rumored Seven:
Joe Blanton: “The Bulldog” is a competent No. 3 starter, a highly valued commodity in today’s watered down pitching market. With the Mets’ interest having subsided after their heist of Johan Santana, the Reds remain the hottest pursuers, viewing the 27-year-old Blanton as the perfect supplement to Aaron Harang and Bronson Arroyo in an improving rotation. As much as the Reds like Blanton, they are finding the asking price too expensive. Fresh off his successful extraction of a six-player haul for Dan Haren, A’s GM Billy Beane wants two to three premier prospects for the workmanlike Blanton. He’s already asked for a package of Joey Votto and either Homer Bailey or Johnny Cueto, but the Reds are reluctant to give up any of those players even straight-up for Blanton. Given such a divide, a compromise could be a long way off.
Joe Crede: Prior to any trade, the 29-year-old Crede must first establish that his back is healthy and then the White Sox will have to decide whether Josh Fields should play third base. If both questions are answered affirmatively, a trade of Crede becomes more likely. There are forever teams in need of help at third base, always a difficult position to fill. Let’s count the Twins, Giants, and possibly the Padres among the potential suitors. The Giants, who need a third baseman more badly than anyone, could offer left-hander Noah Lowry. The Twins, whose lineup leans toward the left, could use Crede in a platoon with newly signed free agent Mike Lamb. The Padres could come into play if they continue to watch Kevin Kouzmanoff box ground balls on the infield dirt in Arizona. Even with an achy back, Crede is a far superior defensive player to the mismatched Kouzmanoff.
Coco Crisp: The Red Sox are taking the politically correct stance that Crisp will compete for playing time, but Jacoby Ellsbury simply has to start in center field, making the veteran defender the most expensive No. 4 outfielder in the major leagues. That job description won’t last for long; the Red Sox want to move the 28-year-old Crisp for pitching help, either for bullpen depth or as a buffer against Curt Schilling missing at least half a season. Finding a suitor for Crisp will be difficult, especially since teams like the Braves (Mark Kotsay), the Marlins (Cameron Maybin), and Giants (Aaron Rowand) have already addressed their center field dilemmas. We can probably cross the Twins off the list, too, since they seem committed to a trial-and-error run with Carlos Gomez. Two National League teams, however, would seem to make sense for Crisp: the Pirates and the Cardinals. Both clubs desperately need established outfielders with strong defensive skills. But it’s unlikely that either team will be willing or able to surrender the kind of pitching the Red Sox desire.
Scott Hatteberg: Though he’s the least glamorous name on this list, he’s a potentially valuable addition to a pennant-contending team looking for one more left-handed bat. From a public standpoint, the Reds have stated that Hatteberg will compete with Joey Votto for the first base job, but the youngster is expected to gain the nod by the end of spring training. The 38-year-old Hatteberg could be used as a backup—a defensive replacement, pinch-hitter, and emergency third-string catcher. But the Reds, who have the less expensive Andy Phillips and Craig Wilson in camp as potential backups, might not want to carry Hatteberg’s $1.65 million salary in a pinch-hitting role. Several American League teams will inquire about Hatteberg, including the Yankees, Mariners, and Blue Jays.
Nick Johnson: “Nick the Stick” seems like he’s been around longer and certainly looks older, but is still only 29. When healthy, his ability to reach base makes him a highly desirable commodity; unfortunately, he hasn’t played a game since breaking his leg in 2006 and has never been a particularly durable player. Even if Johnson plays well this spring, he finds himself blocked by Dmitri Young at first base, making a trade an inevitable result. I wouldn’t be shocked to see Johnson wearing Yankee pinstripes by the end of spring training, especially if Brian Cashman doesn’t like what he sees from Morgan Ensberg and Wilson Betemit. The Nationals would probably be happy with one good prospect, or at least two decent prospects, in return for the virtual on-base machine. A package of right-hander Ross Ohlendorf and shortstop Alberto Gonzalez might entice the Nationals.
Brandon Inge: The odd man out after the blockbuster acquisition of Miguel Cabrera, Inge is unhappy and apparently unwilling to make a fulltime move behind the plate. (It’s amazing to me how many contemporary players are unwilling to switch positions, even if such a move makes them more valuable in a trade or on the free agent front.) The trade market for Inge has been almost non-existent, apparently because too many scouts are concerned by his offensive regression in 2007. Even the Giants have shown little interest. For now, the Tigers are saying that they plan to use Inge as a backup (he does have experience in the outfield, too), but Jim Leyland will have little patience for a bad attitude on the bench. Privately, the Tigers are hoping that some team’s third baseman goes down with an injury, creating a need for a skilled defender and power threat like Inge. Inge can help matters with a strong spring, making him more attractive to a team like the Padres.
Brian Roberts: He’s the best everyday player on this spring’s trade market, an excellent leadoff man and skilled defender who brings speed and toughness to the table. Those are some of the qualities that make Peter Angelos hesitant to trade him, but ultimately Andy MacPhail will win out as part of his continuing youth movement. The Cubs remain the most likely destination, but they will probably have to budge from their standing offer of Ronny Cedeno, Matt Murton, and Sean Gallagher. The O’s would prefer Felix Pie over Murton, or Sean Marshall over Gallagher, and either of those switches may be doable. If not the Cubs, who then? Several teams could use help at second base, including the White Sox, but they are determined to give Danny Richar the longest of looks this season. Then there are the Astros, who could reunite Roberts with double-play partner Miguel Tejada. But the Astros have few prospects they’re willing to surrender after giving up four youngsters for Tejada back in December. Other teams like the Giants are so far from contention that a veteran like Roberts makes little sense in the long run. So, in spite of Roberts’ value, there seems to be little market for him beyond the Cubs. That could change, though, with the first takeout slide of spring training.
While Roberts and the rest of the Rumored Seven are the most prominent names on the spring training trade block, they are certainly not the only players who could be moving on in deals. Other names like Oakland’s Dan Johnson, the Rangers’ Nelson Cruz, and Pittsburgh’s Xavier Nady could be traded for a variety of reasons, though their chances of being dealt are probably less than those of Roberts and company. Johnson might be squeezed out by free agent pickup Mike Sweeney, Cruz is facing a logjam in the Rangers' outfield while his value has reached a peak after a terrific Winter League performance, and Nady could fall victim to the Pirates’ never-ending cost cuts. And then there’s a potentially significant pitcher who is rumored to be available: Milwaukee’s Chris Capuano. I have my doubts about Capuano being traded—after all, few contenders deal veteran pitchers in the spring—especially now that his value has fallen after a terrible second half in 2007.
So now that spring training has commenced, let the next set of trade rumors begin their inevitable and entertaining cycle.